Possibility of the outcome of further depreciation of the ruble of Russia in the foreign exchange market in the medium term remains
By admin at 28 February, 2010, 12:14 pm
According to yesterday"s data, the index of consumer confidence in the euro area in January of this year unchanged from the previous month and amounted to -16 points against the average forecast, equal to -15 points.
volume of orders for durable goods in America grew in December, PG by 0,2% (m /m) against the analysts expected an average growth of the index by 2% and its increase of 0,3% in the previous month.
Corporate reports Microsoft and Amazon have demonstrated more favorable than expected EPS performance for the IV quarter. 2009, however, the market is now paying more attention to forecasts. And they, in terms of yesterday"s data, Motorola and Qualcomm had been very restrained. In particular, Motorola warned investors that the expected loss on the results of I quarter. this year, which is associated with the planned increase in capital investment in the promising sector of smartphones.
Support for the segment of investment in "risk" by U.S. regulators, who spoke on Wednesday with a number of favorable prognosis was rather precarious in nature.
Macroeconomic statistics for the U.S. and the euro area, was released today, as we see, in general, worse than forecasts. Continued growth of quotations of CDS EU"s periphery. Against this background, growth of market indicators of the investment risks resumed, supporting the dollar.
From the perspective of the next quarters of these factors continue to maintain its decisive influence on the dynamics of quotations FX, creating the prerequisites for further strengthening of the dollar against the euro within the framework of a general trend an American currency on the international market.
From the standpoint of short-term period, a major risk for the "bears" pair euro /dollar, obviously, is America"s GDP statistics for the IV quarter. 2009 Perhaps it will allow this currency pair formed in recent days, some technical "oversold."
ruble RF to the USD and against the currency basket of the MICEX today by 10:30 Moscow time was 30.46 and 35.85 rubles. against, respectively, 30,37 and 35,85. yesterday morning.
possibility of the outcome of further depreciation of the ruble of Russia in the foreign exchange market in the medium term remains.
Correlation dynamics quotation EUR /RUB and EUR /USD at the same time indicates that, while maintaining the current level of the relative value of the single European currency to the dollar, from the perspective of the coming weeks, the target level for the rate USD /RUB is a mark of 31 rub. for USD.
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Analyst Ratings |
The dynamics of today"s trading on the market of Russia will be determined by changes in the "risk appetite" of Western investors
Expected today the first official estimates of GDP growth in the U.S. 4 th quarter of 2009 could radically change the mood in the market
Day of the dynamics of the market RF may stabilize, and any attempt to win back the morning drop
While the markets are strong corrective mood, decent excuse for a pd09ossible change in this trend is not
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